Wuxi Wugou 0-1 Suzhou Dongwu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.99
No
64%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.61
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
13%
4.51
6+ Goals
7%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 35% vs market 32.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
46%
-10.3pp
64%
BTTS No
54%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuxi Wugou EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.63/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.72
-25% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
23.0 Crosses 6.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuxi Wugou
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.16 xG 1.42
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
258 Passes 274
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2023 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou 4-1 HT 3-1 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
03.06.2023 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 3-0 HT 1-0 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuxi Wugou
0-1
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu
0.18 xG 0.10
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
346 Passes 229
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
9 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wuxi Wugou vs Suzhou Dongwu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suzhou Dongwu squeezed past Wuxi Wugou 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Wuxi Wugou at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wuxi Wugou had 58% of the ball to Suzhou Dongwu's 42%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 0.18 to 0.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wuxi Wugou and 2.00 for Suzhou Dongwu.

What was the final score of Wuxi Wugou vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Wuxi Wugou 0-1 Suzhou Dongwu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuxi Wugou vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wuxi Wugou win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wuxi Wugou 44%, draw 26%, Suzhou Dongwu 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Wuxi Wugou) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wuxi Wugou) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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