Leicester City WFC (K) 2-3 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City WFC (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-66% / -66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City WFC (K)
2-3
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
2.12 xG 1.55
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
356 Passes 218
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
37 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leicester City WFC (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) nicked a narrow win over Leicester City WFC (K) 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Leicester City WFC (K) at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Leicester City WFC (K) had 60% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion (K)'s 40%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.12 to 1.55 — on chances, Leicester City WFC (K) could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Leicester City WFC (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Leicester City WFC (K) 2-3 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City WFC (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City WFC (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Leicester City WFC (K) 45%, draw 26%, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leicester City WFC (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leicester City WFC (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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