Sydney United 1-0 Sutherland Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒07:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
47%
+4.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutherland Sharks EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.45/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.60
-19% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 15.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sutherland Sharks
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.58 xG 0.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
424 Passes 295
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.07.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 2-1 HT 1-0 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
25.03.2023 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-0 HT 0-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
29.05.2022 Sydney United Sydney United 1-0 HT 0-0 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
12.03.2022 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 2-3 HT 1-2 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
30.05.2021 Sydney United Sydney United 0-0 HT 0-0 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
13.03.2021 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-2 HT 0-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney United vs Sutherland Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney United squeezed past Sutherland Sharks 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sydney United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sydney United and 0.50 for Sutherland Sharks.

What was the final score of Sydney United vs Sutherland Sharks?

Sydney United 1-0 Sutherland Sharks in the Australia - National Premier League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney United vs Sutherland Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sydney United 52%, draw 23%, Sutherland Sharks 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sydney United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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