Wollongong Wolves 0-2 Western Sydney W. II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.89
Over 2.5
66%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.35
No
36%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.7pp
34%
Under 2.5
31%
+2.6pp
66%
Over 2.5
69%
-2.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
70%
-6.4pp
36%
BTTS No
30%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wollongong Wolves EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.91/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.82
+6% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
310 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.4 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wollongong Wolves
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Western Sydney W. II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.60 xG 1.70
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
271 Passes 323
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.06.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 2-2 HT 2-1 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
05.03.2023 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 1-0 HT 0-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
27.09.2020 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 1-0 HT 1-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Wollongong Wolves vs Western Sydney W. II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney W. II saw off Wollongong Wolves 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Wollongong Wolves at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Wollongong Wolves had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wollongong Wolves and 0.67 for Western Sydney W. II.

What was the final score of Wollongong Wolves vs Western Sydney W. II?

Wollongong Wolves 0-2 Western Sydney W. II in the Australia - National Premier League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wollongong Wolves vs Western Sydney W. II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wollongong Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wollongong Wolves 42%, draw 22%, Western Sydney W. II 36%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wollongong Wolves) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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