Brisbane Roar (K) 2-0 Perth Glory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-7.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +143%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.4
Crosses 13.8
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.04 xG 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
302 Passes 236
75% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.01.2024 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
28.10.2018 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
05.11.2017 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-4 HT 1-1 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
2-0
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
1.56 xG 0.42
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
438 Passes 426
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar (K) vs Perth Glory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar (K) beat Perth Glory (K) 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brisbane Roar (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brisbane Roar (K) had 51% of the ball to Perth Glory (K)'s 49%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.56 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Perth Glory (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brisbane Roar (K) and 1.67 for Perth Glory (K).

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Brisbane Roar (K) 2-0 Perth Glory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 56%, draw 24%, Perth Glory (K) 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
24 Mar 2024
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