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Canberra United (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Canberra United (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals
Canberra United (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
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Canberra United (K) 1-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Canberra United (K) squeezed past Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Canberra United (K) made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Canberra United (K) had 44% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 56%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.57 to 1.98 — the balance of chances actually favoured Wellington Phoenix (K).
What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Canberra United (K) 1-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 35%, draw 27%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.