Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-0 Canberra United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 28 Jan 2024

Wellington Phoenix (K)
2-0 HT 1-0
Canberra United (K)
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Canberra United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
26%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.9pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.8pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wellington Phoenix (K) v Canberra United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.00
+67% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
– Crosses 19.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-0 Canberra United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
2-0
AWAY Canberra United (K)
1.85 xG 1.54
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 9
279 Passes 241
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
28 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 30
POST-MATCH Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Canberra United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix (K) got the better of Canberra United (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wellington Phoenix (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wellington Phoenix (K) had 52% of the ball to Canberra United (K)'s 48%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.85 to 1.54.

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-0 Canberra United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 43%, draw 30%, Canberra United (K) 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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