Newcastle Jets (K) 0-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
33%
-4.0pp
33%
Draw
24%
+8.9pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.7pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+145% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
0-2
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
1.17 xG 2.08
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
326 Passes 199
74% Pass Accuracy 63%
25 Box Touches 27
24 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) saw off Newcastle Jets (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 33% / 37%) promised a tight game; Central Coast Mariners (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Newcastle Jets (K) had 59% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners (K)'s 41%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.17 to 2.08.

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Newcastle Jets (K) 0-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central Coast Mariners (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets (K) 29%, draw 33%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) ✗ BTTS Yes
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