Sydney (K) 3-0 Adelaide United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.63
Over 2.5
48%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.09
No
67%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
79%
-10.0pp
19%
Draw
12%
+6.5pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
34%
+17.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
66%
-17.9pp
33%
BTTS Yes
44%
-10.9pp
67%
BTTS No
56%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
3.40/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.00
+21% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% / +18%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
451 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
48.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
24.0 Crosses 12.2
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.38 xG 1.19
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
377 Passes 223
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.12.2019 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
22.11.2019 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
13.12.2018 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 5-2 HT 1-1 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney (K)
3-0
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
2.03 xG 0.93
37% Ball Possession 63%
23 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
245 Passes 476
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sydney (K) vs Adelaide United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney (K) ran out comfortable winners over Adelaide United (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sydney (K) as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (67%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sydney (K) had 37% of the ball to Adelaide United (K)'s 63%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 2.03 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sydney (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sydney (K) and 0.67 for Adelaide United (K).

What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Sydney (K) 3-0 Adelaide United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 69%, draw 19%, Adelaide United (K) 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
24 Mar 2024
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