24/03/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-1
Malatyaspor vs Hacılar Erciyes Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over Pick
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
37%
4-5
28%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
40%
Home Win
42%
23%
Draw
25%
37%
Away Win
33%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Malatyaspor v Hacılar Erciyes — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Malatyaspor
The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Hacılar Erciyes
The Market 37%
+48% /
+48%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-56% /
-56%
2.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/2.00
+36%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-26%
/
-26%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
325 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
282 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Malatyaspor vs Hacılar Erciyes Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Malatyaspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Hacılar Erciyes
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Malatyaspor vs Hacılar Erciyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Malatyaspor squeezed past Hacılar Erciyes 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Malatyaspor made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
What was the final score of Malatyaspor vs Hacılar Erciyes?
Malatyaspor 1-0 Hacılar Erciyes in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Malatyaspor vs Hacılar Erciyes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Malatyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Malatyaspor 40%, draw 23%, Hacılar Erciyes 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malatyaspor), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Malatyaspor)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
BAL
More Turkey - Regional Amateur League
24 Mar 2024