Tecnico Universitario 1-1 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
28%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.8pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.7pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-7.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -29%
1.41/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.99
+13% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
17.8 Crosses 19.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Macara
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.99 xG 1.12
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
258 Passes 233
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 3-1 HT 1-1 Macara Macara EKV1
23.05.2022 Macara Macara 3-1 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
07.11.2021 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
25.05.2021 Macara Macara 1-1 HT 0-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
19.11.2020 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-1 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
25.08.2020 Macara Macara 0-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1-1
AWAY Macara
1.03 xG 2.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
159 Passes 180
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
9 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tecnico Universitario and Macara shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 48% of the ball to Macara's 52%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.03 to 2.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 1.00 for Macara.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Macara?

Tecnico Universitario 1-1 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 39%, draw 33%, Macara 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tecnico Universitario), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
24 Mar 2024
02:00 El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca Analysis →