İtalya 2-0 Ekvador — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Friendlies, 24 Mar 2024

İtalya Elo 1717 · #20 national teams W→
2 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Ekvador Elo 1597 · #51 national teams W→
📅24/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Friendlies – 2024

İtalya vs Ekvador Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.99
Draw
31%
3.12
Away
24%
3.56
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
61%
1.59
Over
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.32
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
16%
5.21
6+
3%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.88
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
17%
4.26
X/2
10%
7.17
X/X
21%
3.82
2/1
2%
30.0
2/2
12%
5.99
2/X
5%
14.9
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

İtalya v Ekvador — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME İtalya The Market 50%
Signal
AWAY Ekvador The Market 28%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.54 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.84
1.10 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.18
Bad Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Great
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 81%
14 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

İtalya vs Ekvador Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ekvador
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
11.06.2005 İtalya İtalya 1-1 HT 1-1 Ekvador Ekvador HAZ

İtalya 2-0 Ekvador — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya
2 - 0
AWAY Ekvador
1.38 xG 0.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 7
386 Passes 397
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW İtalya vs Ekvador
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

İtalya put daylight between themselves and Ekvador 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had İtalya as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, İtalya had 49% of the ball to Ekvador's 51%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.38 to 0.56.

İtalya vs Ekvador Result & Final Score

İtalya 2 - 0 Ekvador in the Friendlies on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

İtalya vs Ekvador Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split İtalya 45%, draw 31%, Ekvador 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İtalya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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