İtalya 2-0 Ekvador — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Mar 2024

İtalya
2-0 HT 1-0
Ekvador
📅24/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

İtalya vs Ekvador Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.21
6+ Goals
7%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.88
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
23%
4.26
X/2
9%
7.17
X/X
14%
3.82
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
11%
5.99
2/X
8%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İtalya v Ekvador — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekvador EU Bookmakers 29%
-25% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
0.98/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.19/0.25
-39% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 81%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
14.0 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

İtalya vs Ekvador Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ekvador
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
11.06.2005 İtalya İtalya 1-1 HT 1-1 Ekvador Ekvador HAZ

İtalya 2-0 Ekvador — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya
2-0
AWAY Ekvador
1.38 xG 0.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 7
386 Passes 397
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH İtalya vs Ekvador
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya got the better of Ekvador 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had İtalya as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, İtalya had 49% of the ball to Ekvador's 51%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.38 to 0.56.

What was the final score of İtalya vs Ekvador?

İtalya 2-0 Ekvador in the Friendlies on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya vs Ekvador?

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split İtalya 43%, draw 29%, Ekvador 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İtalya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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