Surinam 1-1 Martinik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.91
2-3 Goals
34%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
18.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 33% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Surinam EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Martinik EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Surinam
1-1
AWAY Martinik
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Surinam vs Martinik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Surinam and Martinik shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Surinam at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Surinam had 64% of the ball to Martinik's 36%, shots finished 14-5.

What was the final score of Surinam vs Martinik?

Surinam 1-1 Martinik in the Friendlies on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Surinam vs Martinik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Surinam win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Surinam 43%, draw 23%, Martinik 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Surinam), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Surinam) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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