Eastern District 1-1 Yuen Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-5.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.5pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern District EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 57%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.25/2.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.00
+38% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern District
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Yuen Long
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.11.2023 Yuen Long Yuen Long 5-4 HT 2-1 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
09.10.2022 Eastern District Eastern District 0-1 HT 0-1 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
10.10.2021 Yuen Long Yuen Long 2-1 HT 1-0 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern District
1-1
AWAY Yuen Long
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Eastern District vs Yuen Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern District and Yuen Long shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Yuen Long at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Eastern District had 38% of the ball to Yuen Long's 62%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Yuen Long led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Eastern District and 2.67 for Yuen Long.

What was the final score of Eastern District vs Yuen Long?

Eastern District 1-1 Yuen Long in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern District vs Yuen Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yuen Long win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Eastern District 28%, draw 24%, Yuen Long 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yuen Long), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yuen Long) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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