Wong Tai Sin 3-1 Sai Kung — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 24 Mar 2024

Wong Tai Sin
3-1 HT 2-1
Sai Kung
📅24/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division – 2023/2024

Wong Tai Sin vs Sai Kung Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.98
Over 2.5
50%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.32
No
50%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
30%
+19.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
70%
-19.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
72%
-21.8pp
50%
BTTS No
28%
+21.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wong Tai Sin v Sai Kung — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wong Tai Sin EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sai Kung EU Bookmakers 49%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-35% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Wong Tai Sin vs Sai Kung Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wong Tai Sin
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sai Kung
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.11.2023 Sai Kung Sai Kung 0-1 HT 0-1 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin HK2
POST-MATCH Wong Tai Sin vs Sai Kung
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wong Tai Sin saw off Sai Kung 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sai Kung at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Wong Tai Sin vs Sai Kung?

Wong Tai Sin 3-1 Sai Kung in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wong Tai Sin vs Sai Kung?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sai Kung win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wong Tai Sin 28%, draw 27%, Sai Kung 45%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sai Kung)
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