Azul Claro Numazu 2-1 Ryukyu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.33/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.41
+4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ryukyu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
30.07.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 4-0 HT 1-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
03.06.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 3-0 HT 3-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
2-1
AWAY Ryukyu
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Azul Claro Numazu vs Ryukyu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Azul Claro Numazu nicked a narrow win over Ryukyu 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Azul Claro Numazu made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Azul Claro Numazu had 52% of the ball to Ryukyu's 48%, shots finished 21-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Azul Claro Numazu and 1.50 for Ryukyu.

What was the final score of Azul Claro Numazu vs Ryukyu?

Azul Claro Numazu 2-1 Ryukyu in the Japan - J3 League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azul Claro Numazu vs Ryukyu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Azul Claro Numazu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Azul Claro Numazu 39%, draw 25%, Ryukyu 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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