Imabari 0-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imabari EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.54/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.23
+10% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Imabari
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
02.09.2023 Imabari Imabari 1-0 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
26.03.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-1 HT 0-0 Imabari Imabari JAP3
04.09.2022 Imabari Imabari 2-3 HT 1-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
03.04.2022 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 3-0 HT 2-0 Imabari Imabari JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imabari
0-1
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Imabari vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu squeezed past Imabari 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Imabari at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Imabari had 53% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 47%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Imabari and 1.50 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.

What was the final score of Imabari vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Imabari 0-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the Japan - J3 League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imabari vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Imabari win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Imabari 47%, draw 25%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Imabari) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Imabari) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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