Carabobo vs Estudiantes De Merida Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carabobo v Estudiantes De Merida — Team-Based Signals
Carabobo vs Estudiantes De Merida Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Carabobo
VEN
2-0
HT 1-0
Estudiantes De Merida
VEN
0-0
HT 0-0
Estudiantes De Merida
VEN
0-0
HT 0-0
Carabobo
VEN
3-2
HT 3-1
Carabobo
VEN
2-2
HT 0-0
Estudiantes De Merida
VEN
Carabobo 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida — Actual Match Statistics
Carabobo edged past Estudiantes De Merida 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Carabobo had 54% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 46%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.97 to 0.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Carabobo's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Carabobo and 1.00 for Estudiantes De Merida.
What was the final score of Carabobo vs Estudiantes De Merida?
Carabobo 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Estudiantes De Merida?
Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 54%, draw 24%, Estudiantes De Merida 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.