Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 Zamora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 24 Mar 2024

Deportivo La Guaira
2-1 HT 1-0
Zamora
📅24/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo La Guaira v Zamora — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.15/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.26
+4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
19.9 Crosses 13.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2

Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Zamora
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.20 xG 0.35
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
456 Passes 182
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Zamora Zamora 2-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
19.03.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 3-0 HT 2-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
17.06.2022 Zamora Zamora 2-3 HT 2-2 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
29.05.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN

Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 Zamora — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2-1
AWAY Zamora
2.45 xG 1.10
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
324 Passes 356
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira edged past Zamora 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 47% of the ball to Zamora's 53%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 2.45 to 1.10 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Deportivo La Guaira's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.25 for Zamora.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora?

Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 Zamora in the Venezuela - Premier League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Zamora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 47%, draw 28%, Zamora 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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