Magallanes 2-0 Recoleta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 24 Mar 2025

📅24/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.0pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magallanes EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Recoleta EU Bookmakers 20%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-15% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
434 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.2 Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magallanes
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Recoleta
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
1 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
10.02.2025 Recoleta Recoleta 0-1 HT 0-0 Magallanes Magallanes ŞİLİK
01.11.2022 Recoleta Recoleta 0-2 HT 0-0 Magallanes Magallanes ŞİLİB
29.05.2022 Magallanes Magallanes 2-1 HT 2-1 Recoleta Recoleta ŞİLİB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magallanes
2-0
AWAY Recoleta
2 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 0
1 Passes 0
POST-MATCH Magallanes vs Recoleta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magallanes beat Recoleta 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Magallanes as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 2-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Magallanes had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Magallanes and 0.33 for Recoleta.

What was the final score of Magallanes vs Recoleta?

Magallanes 2-0 Recoleta in the Chile - Cup on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magallanes vs Recoleta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magallanes win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Magallanes 56%, draw 24%, Recoleta 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Magallanes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Magallanes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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