Ural 0-0 Arsenal Tula — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 24 Mar 2025

📅24/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.4
No
66%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
38%
-3.2pp
66%
BTTS No
62%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.04/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.12
-27% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
Crosses 6.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ural
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Arsenal Tula
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 0.97
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 Passes 336
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.09.2024 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS1
21.05.2022 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-2 HT 1-2 Ural Ural RUS
27.09.2021 Ural Ural 2-0 HT 2-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
04.04.2021 Ural Ural 2-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
18.10.2020 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 1-0 Ural Ural RUS
15.07.2020 Ural Ural 1-3 HT 1-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
0-0
AWAY Arsenal Tula
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ural vs Arsenal Tula
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural and Arsenal Tula played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ural at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, Ural had 60% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 40%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ural and 1.00 for Arsenal Tula.

What was the final score of Ural vs Arsenal Tula?

Ural 0-0 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs Arsenal Tula?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ural 45%, draw 26%, Arsenal Tula 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ural) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ural) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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