Flint Mountain 1-0 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 24 Mar 2026

📅24/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
53%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
32%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.2pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.9pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-1.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Mountain EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 59%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
0.83/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.87
-37% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +45%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint Mountain
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Guilsfield
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
01.11.2025 Guilsfield 3-0 HT 1-0 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain GALFAW
04.04.2025 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain 1-5 HT 1-2 Guilsfield GALFAW
01.02.2025 Guilsfield 1-1 HT 1-1 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain GALFAW
POST-MATCH Flint Mountain vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint Mountain edged past Guilsfield 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Guilsfield at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Guilsfield led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Flint Mountain and 3.00 for Guilsfield.

What was the final score of Flint Mountain vs Guilsfield?

Flint Mountain 1-0 Guilsfield in the Wales - FAW Championship on 24/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Mountain vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guilsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Flint Mountain 27%, draw 20%, Guilsfield 53%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guilsfield) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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