Flint Mountain 1-5 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.96
Draw
16%
3.94
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.46
No
58%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
47%
+9.9pp
16%
Draw
22%
-6.4pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-3.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
64%
-22.7pp
58%
BTTS No
36%
+22.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Mountain EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
3.28/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.90
+78% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint Mountain
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Guilsfield
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.02.2025 Guilsfield 1-1 HT 1-1 Flint Mountain Flint Mountain GALFAW
POST-MATCH Flint Mountain vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guilsfield ran out comfortable winners over Flint Mountain 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Flint Mountain carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Flint Mountain vs Guilsfield?

Flint Mountain 1-5 Guilsfield in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Mountain vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flint Mountain win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Flint Mountain 57%, draw 16%, Guilsfield 27%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Flint Mountain), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flint Mountain) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
4 Apr 2025
21:30 Pontypridd Town AFC vs Goytre United Analysis →
21:30 Trefelin vs Taffs Well Analysis →
21:30 Newport City vs Cwmbran Celtic Analysis →
21:30 Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds Analysis →
21:45 Denbigh Town vs Llay Miners Welfare Analysis →
21:45 Buckley Town vs Ruthin Town Analysis →