Pontypridd Town AFC 3-0 Goytre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.23
Over 2.5
67%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.5pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.2pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.8pp
33%
Under 2.5
41%
-8.0pp
67%
Over 2.5
59%
+8.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.9pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Goytre United EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +34%
2.03/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.60
-13% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +43%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Goytre United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.08.2024 Goytre United Goytre United 3-3 HT 2-2 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
18.12.2021 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 1-3 HT 0-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
30.10.2021 Goytre United Goytre United 0-1 HT 0-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Goytre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC cruised past Goytre United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pontypridd Town AFC as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (67%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pontypridd Town AFC and 2.00 for Goytre United.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Goytre United?

Pontypridd Town AFC 3-0 Goytre United in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Goytre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 60%, draw 19%, Goytre United 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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