Afan Lido 1-0 Trethomas Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+1.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.71/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.69
+6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
213 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afan Lido
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
11.10.2024 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 3-2 HT 2-1 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
POST-MATCH Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afan Lido edged past Trethomas Bluebirds 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Trethomas Bluebirds at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Afan Lido 1-0 Trethomas Bluebirds in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trethomas Bluebirds win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 31%, draw 22%, Trethomas Bluebirds 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) ✗ Over 2.5
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