Trethomas Bluebirds 3-2 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.74
Over 2.5
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.6pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.1pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.66/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.05
+18% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trethomas Bluebirds squeezed past Afan Lido 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trethomas Bluebirds as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido?

Trethomas Bluebirds 3-2 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trethomas Bluebirds win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Trethomas Bluebirds 56%, draw 19%, Afan Lido 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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