Ammanford 3-1 Goytre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.89
Over 2.5
66%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.38
No
41%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.7pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
34%
Under 2.5
31%
+2.7pp
66%
Over 2.5
69%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.0pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Goytre United EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.52/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/2.18
+33% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ammanford
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Goytre United
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
10.02.2024 Goytre United Goytre United 2-6 HT 1-3 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
22.09.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 0-1 HT 0-1 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
15.04.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 5-0 HT 4-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
30.09.2022 Ammanford Ammanford 2-3 HT 1-2 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
28.01.2022 Ammanford Ammanford 0-1 HT 0-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Goytre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ammanford beat Goytre United 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ammanford as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Goytre United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Ammanford and 2.40 for Goytre United.

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Goytre United?

Ammanford 3-1 Goytre United in the Wales - FAW Championship on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Goytre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 46%, draw 20%, Goytre United 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ammanford), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ammanford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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