Bangor 1876 3-4 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.94
Over 2.5
60%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.32
No
44%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.7pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.9pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
22%
+17.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
78%
-17.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
72%
-15.7pp
44%
BTTS No
28%
+15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangor 1876 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.63/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/2.29
+29% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
598 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangor 1876
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Denbigh Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
23.04.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-2 HT 2-0 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 GALFAW
POST-MATCH Bangor 1876 vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town edged past Bangor 1876 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bangor 1876 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Bangor 1876 vs Denbigh Town?

Bangor 1876 3-4 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangor 1876 vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangor 1876 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bangor 1876 45%, draw 26%, Denbigh Town 29%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bangor 1876) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangor 1876) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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