Pontypridd Town AFC 2-0 Cwmbran Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.53
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
2.59
Over 2.5
70%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
61%
+4.2pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.5pp
17%
Away Win
19%
-1.7pp
30%
Under 2.5
35%
-5.0pp
70%
Over 2.5
65%
+5.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.9pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 22%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.84/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/2.99
-19% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
424 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.10.2021 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-2 HT 0-2 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC got the better of Cwmbran Celtic 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pontypridd Town AFC as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Pontypridd Town AFC 2-0 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 65%, draw 18%, Cwmbran Celtic 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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