04/04/2025
·
21:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Newport City vs Cwmbran Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
28%
Draw
21%
29%
Away Win
23%
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
44%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newport City v Cwmbran Celtic — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Newport City
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Cwmbran Celtic
EU Bookmakers 26%
+11% /
+11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+2% /
+3%
2.05/0.70
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.19/2.95
-4%
/
+84%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+63%
/
-36%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
12
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
5
438 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
196 · 66%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Newport City vs Cwmbran Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Newport City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Cwmbran Celtic
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Newport City vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Newport City beat Cwmbran Celtic 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Newport City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Newport City vs Cwmbran Celtic?
Newport City 2-0 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newport City vs Cwmbran Celtic?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Newport City 43%, draw 28%, Cwmbran Celtic 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newport City) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Newport City)
✗ BTTS Yes
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GALFAW
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4 Apr 2025