Cwmbran Celtic 0-1 Newport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.35
No
29%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.4pp
71%
BTTS Yes
70%
+0.6pp
29%
BTTS No
30%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport City EU Bookmakers 56%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+28% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Cwmbran Celtic vs Newport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport City squeezed past Cwmbran Celtic 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Newport City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (71%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Cwmbran Celtic vs Newport City?

Cwmbran Celtic 0-1 Newport City in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cwmbran Celtic vs Newport City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cwmbran Celtic 28%, draw 24%, Newport City 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newport City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newport City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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