Guilsfield 4-2 Penrhyncoch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-12.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.4pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 24%
-16% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.45/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.02
+3% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guilsfield
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Penrhyncoch
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
14.12.2024 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 1-1 HT 1-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
20.07.2024 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 0-3 HT 0-3 Guilsfield GALLK
18.01.2023 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 1-2 HT 1-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
19.11.2022 Guilsfield 4-1 HT 1-1 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
05.03.2022 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 3-0 HT 2-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guilsfield beat Penrhyncoch 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guilsfield as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Guilsfield had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Guilsfield and 1.20 for Penrhyncoch.

What was the final score of Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch?

Guilsfield 4-2 Penrhyncoch in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guilsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Guilsfield 46%, draw 23%, Penrhyncoch 31%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guilsfield), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guilsfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
28 Dec 2024
17:00 Caersws vs Gresford Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Mold Alexandra vs Flint Mountain Analysis →
17:00 Cwmbran Celtic vs Newport City Analysis →
17:30 Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town Analysis →