Caersws 0-1 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
12%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
63%
+4.2pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.9pp
12%
Away Win
18%
-5.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.8pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 21%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
2.43/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/2.36
+2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
273 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caersws
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Gresford Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.02.2024 Caersws Caersws 1-1 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gresford Athletic edged past Caersws 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Caersws at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Gresford Athletic?

Caersws 0-1 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caersws win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Caersws 67%, draw 21%, Gresford Athletic 12%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caersws) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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