Trefelin 2-0 Taffs Well — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.28
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
73%
-4.3pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.6pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 14%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
2.20/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/2.54
-19% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Taffs Well
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
04.10.2024 Taffs Well Taffs Well 3-3 HT 2-2 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
13.01.2024 Taffs Well Taffs Well 1-2 HT 1-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
21.10.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 1-1 HT 1-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
25.02.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 0-3 HT 0-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
06.08.2022 Trefelin Trefelin 0-5 HT 0-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALLK
02.08.2022 Taffs Well Taffs Well 4-2 HT 0-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Taffs Well
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin saw off Taffs Well 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Trefelin as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Taffs Well led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Trefelin and 2.83 for Taffs Well.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Taffs Well?

Trefelin 2-0 Taffs Well in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Taffs Well?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 69%, draw 17%, Taffs Well 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trefelin) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trefelin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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