Taffs Well vs Trefelin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Taffs Well v Trefelin — Team-Based Signals
Taffs Well vs Trefelin Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Taffs Well
GALFAW
0-3
HT 0-1
Taffs Well
GALFAW
0-5
HT 0-1
Taffs Well
GALLK
4-2
HT 0-1
Trefelin
GALFAW
0-0
HT 0-0
Taffs Well
GALFAW
Trefelin squeezed past Taffs Well 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Taffs Well at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (67%) came in.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Taffs Well had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Taffs Well and 0.60 for Trefelin.
What was the final score of Taffs Well vs Trefelin?
Taffs Well 1-2 Trefelin in the Wales - FAW Championship on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Taffs Well vs Trefelin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Taffs Well win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Taffs Well 48%, draw 26%, Trefelin 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Taffs Well) went the other way.