Caersws 3-3 Airbus UK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 13 Jan 2024

Caersws
3-3 HT 2-1
Airbus UK
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Caersws vs Airbus UK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
56%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
24%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+6.5pp
17%
Draw
20%
-2.6pp
56%
Away Win
60%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.5pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caersws v Airbus UK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Airbus UK EU Bookmakers 64%
+59% / +59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
4.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/0.92
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +24%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Caersws vs Airbus UK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caersws
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Airbus UK
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Airbus UK Airbus UK 3-3 HT 1-2 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Airbus UK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caersws and Airbus UK shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Airbus UK carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Airbus UK?

Caersws 3-3 Airbus UK in the Wales - FAW Championship on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Airbus UK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Airbus UK win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Caersws 27%, draw 17%, Airbus UK 56%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Airbus UK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Airbus UK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
13 Jan 2024
17:00 Prestatyn Town vs Porthmadog Analysis →
17:00 Taffs Well vs Trefelin Analysis →
17:00 Flint Town United vs Guilsfield Analysis →
17:00 Bangor 1876 vs Chirk AAA Analysis →
17:00 Abertillery Bluebirds vs Llanelli Town Analysis →
17:00 Mold Alexandra vs Llanidloes Town Analysis →