Flint Town United 1-1 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-14.8pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.1pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+10.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.7pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 15%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
3.91/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/4.24
+52% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -39%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
443 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Flint Town United vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint Town United and Guilsfield couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Flint Town United at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

What was the final score of Flint Town United vs Guilsfield?

Flint Town United 1-1 Guilsfield in the Wales - FAW Championship on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Town United vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flint Town United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Flint Town United 56%, draw 22%, Guilsfield 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Flint Town United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flint Town United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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