Abertillery Bluebirds 1-1 Llanelli Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
9.57
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
70%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.46
Over 2.5
67%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
8%
+4.6pp
18%
Draw
11%
+6.4pp
70%
Away Win
81%
-10.9pp
33%
Under 2.5
25%
+7.7pp
67%
Over 2.5
75%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abertillery Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 85%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.53/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.00/1.00
-44% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / -19%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 518 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abertillery Bluebirds
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Llanelli Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 9.00
20.10.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 9-0 HT 4-0 Abertillery Bluebirds Abertillery Bluebirds GALFAW
POST-MATCH Abertillery Bluebirds vs Llanelli Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abertillery Bluebirds and Llanelli Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Llanelli Town at 70% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Abertillery Bluebirds vs Llanelli Town?

Abertillery Bluebirds 1-1 Llanelli Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abertillery Bluebirds vs Llanelli Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Abertillery Bluebirds 13%, draw 18%, Llanelli Town 70%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Llanelli Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
13 Jan 2024
17:00 Prestatyn Town vs Porthmadog Analysis →
17:00 Taffs Well vs Trefelin Analysis →
17:00 Caersws vs Airbus UK Analysis →
17:00 Flint Town United vs Guilsfield Analysis →
17:00 Bangor 1876 vs Chirk AAA Analysis →
17:00 Mold Alexandra vs Llanidloes Town Analysis →