Prestatyn Town 3-2 Porthmadog — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+9.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.5pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Prestatyn Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Porthmadog EU Bookmakers 36%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.36/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/2.12
+71% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Prestatyn Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Porthmadog
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.10.2023 Porthmadog Porthmadog 3-1 HT 1-1 Prestatyn Town Prestatyn Town GALFAW
11.02.2023 Prestatyn Town Prestatyn Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Porthmadog Porthmadog GALFAW
06.09.2022 Porthmadog Porthmadog 2-0 HT 2-0 Prestatyn Town Prestatyn Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Prestatyn Town vs Porthmadog
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Prestatyn Town edged past Porthmadog 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Prestatyn Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Porthmadog led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Prestatyn Town and 2.00 for Porthmadog.

What was the final score of Prestatyn Town vs Porthmadog?

Prestatyn Town 3-2 Porthmadog in the Wales - FAW Championship on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Prestatyn Town vs Porthmadog?

Before kick-off our model rated an Porthmadog win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Prestatyn Town 36%, draw 23%, Porthmadog 41%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Porthmadog) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Porthmadog) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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