Denbigh Town 5-0 Llay Miners Welfare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.29
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
73%
-14.0pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.5pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.2pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Llay Miners Welfare EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
3.35/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.85
+24% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
352 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denbigh Town
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Llay Miners Welfare
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
30.11.2024 Llay Miners Welfare Llay Miners Welfare 3-2 HT 1-2 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
19.07.2024 Llay Miners Welfare Llay Miners Welfare 3-1 HT 1-1 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALLK
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Llay Miners Welfare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town swept aside Llay Miners Welfare 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Denbigh Town as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (70%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Llay Miners Welfare led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Denbigh Town and 3.00 for Llay Miners Welfare.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Llay Miners Welfare?

Denbigh Town 5-0 Llay Miners Welfare in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Llay Miners Welfare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 59%, draw 20%, Llay Miners Welfare 21%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denbigh Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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