Llay Miners Welfare 3-2 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
51%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
3.94
Over 2.5
73%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.28
No
42%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
24%
4-5 Goals
40%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.8pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.7pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-6.0pp
27%
Under 2.5
22%
+5.0pp
73%
Over 2.5
78%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
74%
-16.3pp
42%
BTTS No
26%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llay Miners Welfare EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 61%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.23/1.79
-37% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / -28%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 472 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llay Miners Welfare
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Denbigh Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.07.2024 Llay Miners Welfare Llay Miners Welfare 3-1 HT 1-1 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALLK
POST-MATCH Llay Miners Welfare vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llay Miners Welfare squeezed past Denbigh Town 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Denbigh Town at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Llay Miners Welfare vs Denbigh Town?

Llay Miners Welfare 3-2 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llay Miners Welfare vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Llay Miners Welfare 31%, draw 18%, Denbigh Town 51%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Denbigh Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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