Holywell 2-1 Penrhyncoch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.29
Draw
15%
5.28
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
73%
-7.5pp
15%
Draw
16%
-1.2pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
2.75/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.50
+0% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
453 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Penrhyncoch
3.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
14.09.2024 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 0-1 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
18.03.2023 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 0-5 HT 0-4 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
01.10.2022 Holywell Holywell 2-0 HT 1-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
23.04.2022 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 1-3 HT 1-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
20.11.2021 Holywell Holywell 5-0 HT 3-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Penrhyncoch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell squeezed past Penrhyncoch 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Holywell had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.20 goals for Holywell and 0.20 for Penrhyncoch.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Penrhyncoch?

Holywell 2-1 Penrhyncoch in the Wales - FAW Championship on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Penrhyncoch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Holywell 66%, draw 15%, Penrhyncoch 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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