Penrhyncoch 0-1 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
25%
5.15
Away
53%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.17
Over 2.5
66%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.5
No
32%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.5pp
25%
Draw
16%
+8.8pp
52%
Away Win
68%
-15.2pp
34%
Under 2.5
28%
+5.4pp
66%
Over 2.5
72%
-5.4pp
68%
BTTS Yes
62%
+5.0pp
32%
BTTS No
38%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 72%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
1.80/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.90/0.80
+48% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +46%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
360 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 471 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penrhyncoch
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Holywell
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.75
18.03.2023 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 0-5 HT 0-4 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
01.10.2022 Holywell Holywell 2-0 HT 1-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
23.04.2022 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 1-3 HT 1-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
20.11.2021 Holywell Holywell 5-0 HT 3-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
POST-MATCH Penrhyncoch vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell squeezed past Penrhyncoch 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (68%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Holywell led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Penrhyncoch and 3.75 for Holywell.

What was the final score of Penrhyncoch vs Holywell?

Penrhyncoch 0-1 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhyncoch vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Penrhyncoch 22%, draw 25%, Holywell 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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