Carmarthen Town 1-0 Newport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
16%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.5pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport City EU Bookmakers 38%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.39/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.00
+26% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +78%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Newport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town edged past Newport City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Carmarthen Town made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Newport City?

Carmarthen Town 1-0 Newport City in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Newport City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 39%, draw 29%, Newport City 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carmarthen Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
14 Sep 2024
16:30 Penrhyncoch vs Holywell Analysis →
16:30 Llay Miners Welfare vs Caersws Analysis →
16:30 Pontypridd Town AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds Analysis →
16:30 Mold Alexandra vs Ruthin Town Analysis →
16:30 Cwmbran Celtic vs Goytre United Analysis →
16:45 Llantwit Major vs Ammanford Analysis →