Llay Miners Welfare 1-0 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.96
Over 2.5
67%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.35
No
37%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.4pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.4pp
33%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.3pp
67%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
70%
-6.9pp
37%
BTTS No
30%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llay Miners Welfare EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
269 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Llay Miners Welfare vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llay Miners Welfare edged past Caersws 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 21% / 42%) promised a tight game; Llay Miners Welfare found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Llay Miners Welfare vs Caersws?

Llay Miners Welfare 1-0 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llay Miners Welfare vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caersws win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Llay Miners Welfare 38%, draw 21%, Caersws 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caersws) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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