Pontypridd Town AFC 2-3 Trethomas Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 14 Sep 2024

Pontypridd Town AFC
2-3 HT 0-2
Trethomas Bluebirds
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Pontypridd Town AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+6.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-5.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pontypridd Town AFC v Trethomas Bluebirds — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.64/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.34
-19% / +128% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trethomas Bluebirds squeezed past Pontypridd Town AFC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Pontypridd Town AFC at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Pontypridd Town AFC 2-3 Trethomas Bluebirds in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 54%, draw 23%, Trethomas Bluebirds 23%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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