Llantwit Major 1-0 Ammanford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.43
Over 2.5
46%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-4.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
38%
+16.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
62%
-16.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.7pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ammanford EU Bookmakers 37%
+19% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.88/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.66
-2% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llantwit Major
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ammanford
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.08.2024 Ammanford Ammanford 1-2 HT 0-2 Llantwit Major GALFAW
13.01.2024 Ammanford Ammanford 0-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
21.10.2023 Llantwit Major 0-0 HT 0-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
07.04.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 3-2 HT 2-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
18.03.2023 Llantwit Major 1-1 HT 0-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
26.03.2022 Llantwit Major 1-1 HT 0-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Ammanford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major nicked a narrow win over Ammanford 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Llantwit Major as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Llantwit Major had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Llantwit Major and 1.00 for Ammanford.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Ammanford?

Llantwit Major 1-0 Ammanford in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Ammanford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 47%, draw 24%, Ammanford 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llantwit Major), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Llantwit Major) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
14 Sep 2024
16:30 Penrhyncoch vs Holywell Analysis →
16:30 Llay Miners Welfare vs Caersws Analysis →
16:30 Carmarthen Town vs Newport City Analysis →
16:30 Pontypridd Town AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds Analysis →
16:30 Mold Alexandra vs Ruthin Town Analysis →
16:30 Cwmbran Celtic vs Goytre United Analysis →