Ammanford 1-2 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Aug 2024

📅06/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
23%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.49
No
37%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.5pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-4.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
-0.3pp
37%
BTTS No
37%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.67/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/2.65
+32% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
436 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ammanford
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Llantwit Major
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.01.2024 Ammanford Ammanford 0-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
21.10.2023 Llantwit Major 0-0 HT 0-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
07.04.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 3-2 HT 2-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
18.03.2023 Llantwit Major 1-1 HT 0-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
26.03.2022 Llantwit Major 1-1 HT 0-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major squeezed past Ammanford 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Ammanford at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ammanford and 1.00 for Llantwit Major.

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Llantwit Major?

Ammanford 1-2 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 48%, draw 29%, Llantwit Major 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ammanford) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ammanford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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