Afan Lido 1-2 Taffs Well — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Aug 2024

📅06/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+8.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.9pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 32%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.75/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.54
+36% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afan Lido
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Taffs Well
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
06.04.2024 Taffs Well Taffs Well 4-1 HT 2-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
15.12.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-2 HT 1-0 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
18.04.2023 Taffs Well Taffs Well 2-0 HT 0-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
18.10.2022 Taffs Well Taffs Well 2-1 HT 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALLK
11.03.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 1-5 HT 0-2 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
POST-MATCH Afan Lido vs Taffs Well
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taffs Well edged past Afan Lido 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Taffs Well made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Taffs Well led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Afan Lido and 3.00 for Taffs Well.

What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Taffs Well?

Afan Lido 1-2 Taffs Well in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Taffs Well?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afan Lido win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 41%, draw 23%, Taffs Well 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Afan Lido) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Afan Lido) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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