Goytre United 0-1 Baglan Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Aug 2024

📅06/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
34%
3.72
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.5pp
34%
Draw
23%
+10.8pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-5.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.9pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goytre United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.36/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.81
+27% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goytre United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Baglan Dragons
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
27.01.2024 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 2-1 HT 1-1 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
15.12.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 3-2 HT 1-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
POST-MATCH Goytre United vs Baglan Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baglan Dragons nicked a narrow win over Goytre United 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 34% / 31% — and on the day Baglan Dragons made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Goytre United and 2.00 for Baglan Dragons.

What was the final score of Goytre United vs Baglan Dragons?

Goytre United 0-1 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goytre United vs Baglan Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goytre United win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Goytre United 35%, draw 34%, Baglan Dragons 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Goytre United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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